Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 13.985666 15.770111 17.753405 20.131730 22.920131 26.102520 30.033421
2025-10-05 12.775631 15.382012 18.529535 22.656215 27.992326 34.755092 44.130506
2025-10-12 11.504618 14.456929 18.223490 23.471371 30.741011 40.683667 55.725184
2025-10-19 10.077161 13.062468 17.027677 22.809690 31.252928 43.512809 63.418619
2025-10-26 9.425051 12.576524 16.924299 23.546891 33.728711 49.423318 76.823391
2025-11-02 8.596563 11.735764 16.198897 23.240289 34.532477 52.829887 86.824281
2025-11-09 7.880009 10.972063 15.484878 22.828715 35.059080 55.798630 96.629084
2025-11-16 7.306765 10.358633 14.921085 22.562111 35.746966 59.097379 107.742271
2025-11-23 6.731433 9.688938 14.201269 21.946596 35.728736 61.087310 116.665997
2025-11-30 6.330130 9.251276 13.800661 21.807803 36.514427 64.675999 129.828257
2025-12-07 5.813819 8.593544 12.989606 20.874287 35.709110 65.003122 135.711751
2025-12-14 5.316756 7.933081 12.123919 19.760339 34.423499 64.148483 138.582689
2025-12-21 4.950930 7.474612 11.582354 19.218389 34.265894 65.818366 148.718727
2025-12-28 5.114400 7.895497 12.562674 21.579320 40.271016 82.191586 203.708411
2026-01-04 4.998096 7.834996 12.697405 22.347772 43.086658 91.924598 244.308634
2026-01-11 4.684993 7.414552 12.155170 21.725066 42.768486 93.912269 261.453764
2026-01-18 4.584081 7.355763 12.262880 22.418719 45.522601 104.399438 312.256777
2026-01-25 4.359610 7.063011 11.913768 22.130270 45.940028 108.724011 342.959935
2026-02-01 4.140604 6.766610 11.536044 21.742978 46.064499 112.269545 372.562840
2026-02-08 3.955024 6.519862 11.235521 21.492048 46.492495 116.818878 409.026095
2026-02-15 3.744592 6.215785 10.803715 20.912550 46.007824 118.516709 433.935586
2026-02-22 3.599773 6.025442 10.582210 20.781846 46.676381 124.017202 480.510596
2026-03-01 3.382911 5.689288 10.051051 19.902418 45.236838 122.373799 490.277275